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Sunday, August 14, 2011

Strategy Change: Sell the rallies

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Dear Investor,

NIFTY Monthly chart reveals change of strategy. The market correction is not happening all of sudden. The bull market is about change its character into bear market. You don't need somebody to tell you this. Just see monthly chart and you will see that market is trading below dotted red support line.


Lets verify our conclusion with on weekly chart. I see that market is slowly making new lows and grinding lower. It rallies into red support (now resistance) line and then comes back down from there. Its quite obvious  market is behaving like this. There is some kind of uncertainty in market. Nobody knows whats going to happen and that is not a very good feeling. Basic only thing certain right now is uncertainty. So most likely you will make only if you go short when market rallies. There is serious change in strategy needed.



Take a look at 15 year monthly chart. You will find out that market usually does not break red support line. It always bounces from that point. But for past few months it has been flat and then it turned down. There is a sign that most likely move is on downside than on upside. But don't take Mr Market for granted. It could go up to surprise all of us. I believe shorting the rally is best option to take now.



FII investment is not very encouraging. FII are not out of market completely but they are not entering with full force. The force that is needed to trade the market up. I believe that there is something big going to be disclosed in near term. Be careful and good luck.


Thanks
Anil
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Posted by India Stock Tips at 1:25 PM

13 comments:

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