Orbit Corporation, Ramspura Industires and Valecha

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Dear Investor,

Please add following stocks to your watchlist

Ramspura Industires Buy up to 84 Stop Loss 73 Book Profit 110

Valecha Engineering Buy up to 100 Stop Loss 84 Book Profit 124

Orbit Corporation Buy up to 265 Stop Loss 188 Book Profit 320

Thanks
Anil



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LIVE NIFTY CHART (Spot the buy point)

LIVE NIFTY CHART (Short Term)


Disclaimer: Please trade with your own judgment or with the help of investment advisor. We are not responsible for any financial losses.

Stop Loss: Sell Stock if it closes below this price. It tells you that market has proved you wrong. Accept it.

2008 and 2009 NIFTY Similarity

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Dear Investor,

Today I thought of bringing out few similarities I notice between today's NIFTY behavior with the 2008 Crash behavior. This will be little complicated for people who are only interested in hot tips. I will help you better if you learn how the market always tips you before main event unfolds. If you can't see the chart clearly then click on it to see it bigger.

Points to note
1. Red line in the chart is 50 day moving average line. Observe that market did not correct to 50 day line for 3-4 months
2. Bollinger band green lines were compressing
3. After 3 months of range bound trading marked by blue lines, It crossed below the red 50 day line
4. Big correction followed after this event
5. Also look at the indicator at the bottom of this chart. When Red line moves above blue, its a sell signal




Now lets focus on today's market NIFTY 2009



1. Red line in the chart is 50 day moving average line. Observe that market did not correct to 50 day line for 3-4 months. Only once it touched the red line
2. Bollinger band green lines are compressing
3. After 3 months of range bound trading marked by blue lines, It has still not crossed below the red 50 day line
4. Look at the indicator at the bottom of this chart. When Red line moves above blue, its a sell signal. Its not signalling a sell yet but could be close to it.

I find too much similar characteristics between today and just before 2008 correction. Point to take home is to be extra cautious. Times are certainly not exciting and certain cash position should be prepared. I am not suggesting to sell all you have and exit the market place. My job is to educate you to look from all perspectives and keep an open mind to future happenings. Its hard to predict the future but we can certainly learn from past.

We are still not ready for a big sell off yet..until the 50 day red line is taken out.

Thanks
Anil



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LIVE NIFTY CHART (Spot the buy point)

LIVE NIFTY CHART (Short Term)


Disclaimer: Please trade with your own judgment or with the help of investment advisor. We are not responsible for any financial losses.

Stop Loss: Sell Stock if it closes below this price. It tells you that market has proved you wrong. Accept it.

NIFTY Patterns you must watch

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Dear Investor,

Certainly there is not a single reason to be investing aggressively under current market conditions. As if the tide is waiting for earnings reports. Well, It just occurred to me that we have already priced in the earnings growth into the shares prices. Well, I leave it to you to think about it.



Today I want to explain to you a technical indicator called bollinger bands.

These indicators are displayed in green color in following chart. This indicator is very good at detecting the trend change. Please remember only trend change that does not mean uptrend or downtrend. Only indicates trend change that means something new is going to happened to upside or downside. Currently we are exactly at the same spot.

Look above, every time the bands compressed together there was a major trend change. We are on the verge of such a new trend change. It could be up or down. This indicator can't tell that.

Check the Live Bollinger Band for NIFTY

Bookmark the above link to check periodically where does the current trend stand So you know from above chart the trend change is in cards.

Lets try to learn other chart pattern called Rising Wedge Pattern (Reversal)




The pattern created by connecting previous lows with current lows is a lower support line.
The upper resistance line is create by connecting previous high with current high.

As soon as the stock break out below the support trend line a big sell off would begin. This patten is one of the very risky patterns to form. Very few stocks survive this kind of pattern.

Well, all this makes us cautious about current situation. The uptrend is not broken yet. The excitement is reduced and big fight of bulls and bears is going on.

Be cautious. Don't hurry.


Best Regards
Anil


Anil


Thanks
Anil



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LIVE NIFTY CHART (Spot the buy point)

LIVE NIFTY CHART (Short Term)


Disclaimer: Please trade with your own judgment or with the help of investment advisor. We are not responsible for any financial losses.

Stop Loss: Sell Stock if it closes below this price. It tells you that market has proved you wrong. Accept it.

Calm of NIFTY Stocks

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Dear Investor,

I looked at all the NIFTY stocks and there charts. I found Maruti, Tata Motor, TCS are the only once which are in uptrend. The value discovery process is still on. Rest of the lot is just moving up and down as if the value has been found. It does not necessarily mean that those are overvalued in any way. It just the fight to go higher is not there.

I feel the calm in each stock, like all of us are calm within ourselves. We are waiting patiently to check the next action of market. Many of us have been compelled by the market to buy at price which we would not like. Market does compel us to do such a thing. But the market is not moving. Its calm. The calm is too much to tolerate the silence of the huge marketplace. I do not find anything that it really one should buy.

One should not be 100% invested in these conditions. Market might move higher or not, just the inaction by the players is a cause of concern. We should keep some money for future market action. The next move is not certainly up. Well nobody can really see the future, we can only conclude based on the past actions. Last weeks actions are not very exciting. The excitement is dying.

Give a serious thought about the calm in this market and your portfolio.

FII have not stopped buying. They are still on the buying block.

Thanks
Anil



Please forward this email to your friends and family members to help them build wealth under technical stock market guidance.

LIVE NIFTY CHART (Spot the buy point)

LIVE NIFTY CHART (Short Term)


Disclaimer: Please trade with your own judgment or with the help of investment advisor. We are not responsible for any financial losses.

Stop Loss: Sell Stock if it closes below this price. It tells you that market has proved you wrong. Accept it.

Current Portfolio

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Dear Investor,

Click to check out our current recommendation performance

What is noticed in above Sep recommendations compared to previous months is that the breakout stocks are not really running higher. They are behaving like little chickens. Neither going up nor moving down.

I guess, time to pause and reflect on this stocks behavior has arrived.

Nonetheless the Index componets have been outperforming others

Thanks
Anil



Please forward this email to your friends and family members to help them build wealth under technical stock market guidance.

LIVE NIFTY CHART (Spot the buy point)

LIVE NIFTY CHART (Short Term)


Disclaimer: Please trade with your own judgment or with the help of investment advisor. We are not responsible for any financial losses.

Stop Loss: Sell Stock if it closes below this price. It tells you that market has proved you wrong. Accept it.

Gammon India

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Dear Investor,

Please add following stocks to your watch list

Gammon India Buy up to 200 Stop Loss 190 Book Profit 240

Gammon india has been consolidating in a range bound trend for a while. It recently showing good signs of next leg up. But It is advisable to take only small position at this time and add more when the trend is confirmed.

I am getting few bad news here on CNN and CNBC

Some kind of terror plot has been uncovered that could bring negative sentiment. Traders are looking for reason to make the pull back happen. This news could give them a chance to begin the sell off.

Other important meeting about Dollar strength will be tomorrow. Why should we worry about it? Well, if the US Fed starts pulling out the free money from the system then dollar will suddenly start gaining strength which is essentially going to be negative for the market.

The market is not ready to pullback yet. It will continue higher. FIIs are pouring money into Indian markets like there is no tomorrow. Huge cashflow is happening into India market. There has not been a single sell day in past two weeks. Its hard to believe the correction will come easy.

Many index components are getting out of consolidation pattern and have started moving higher. For Example PNB is moved out of its previous high of 700. SBI is moving higher. The buying pressure is too much for any kind of correction.

If you are too much excited to buy this is certainly is not the entry point. Take very cautious positions.

Thanks
Anil



Please forward this email to your friends and family members to help them build wealth under technical stock market guidance.

LIVE NIFTY CHART (Spot the buy point)

LIVE NIFTY CHART (Short Term)


Disclaimer: Please trade with your own judgment or with the help of investment advisor. We are not responsible for any financial losses.

Stop Loss: Sell Stock if it closes below this price. It tells you that market has proved you wrong. Accept it.

HCC - Hind Construction

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Dear Investor,

Add following stock to your watchlist

Hind Construction Buy up to 130 Stop Loss 100 Profit Target of 200
LIC Housing Finance Buy up to 750 Stop Loss 600 Profit Target - Not possible to tell now
SREI Infrastructure Buy up to 81 Stop Loss 70 Profit Target 110

Thanks
Anil



Please forward this email to your friends and family members to help them build wealth under technical stock market guidance.

LIVE NIFTY CHART (Spot the buy point)

Disclaimer: Please trade with your own judgment or with the help of investment advisor. We are not responsible for any financial losses.

Stop Loss: Sell Stock if it closes below this price. It tells you that market has proved you wrong. Accept it.

Hotel Leela and TVS Motors

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Dear Investor,


Here is today's watch list based on technical analysis


Hotel Leela Buy up to 40 Stop Loss 33 Book Profit 50

TVS Motor Buy up to 60 Stop Loss 49 Book Profit 69

Tata Chemicals Buy up to 270 Stop Loss 250 Boof Profit 350


Thanks
Anil



Please forward this email to your friends and family members to help them build wealth under technical stock market guidance.

LIVE NIFTY CHART (Spot the buy point)

Disclaimer: Please trade with your own judgment or with the help of investment advisor. We are not responsible for any financial losses.


Stop Loss: Sell Stock if it closes below this price. It tells you that market has proved you wrong.

Banking Sector is getting hot

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Dear Investor,

Check these new exciting breakouts for your watchlist

YES BANK Buy Up 195 Stop Loss 171 Book Profit 220
Federal Bank Buy Up 255 Stop Loss 227 Book Profit 300
Dena Bank Buy Up 65 Stop Loss 53 Book Profit 80

Thanks
Anil



Please forward this email to your friends and family members to help them build wealth under technical stock market guidance.

LIVE NIFTY CHART (Spot the buy point)

Disclaimer: Please trade with your own judgment or with the help of investment advisor. We are not responsible for any financial losses.

How to Know Bull or Bear Market with a Simple Indicator

Dear Investor,

This is the most importance chart you will learn in your investment career. I learned this late in my trading life. You must learn this right. The question you will always have is about how to identify the bull markets.

I have two lines drawn on the following screen. The blue line is a actual NIFTY closing for past 10 years. What do you see? Green arrows are the days when the Crash happened. One of the most fearful days and what did you do then? Didn't you sell your stocks and got out of the market. And just after next day the market resumed its uptrend while leaving you behind.

NIFTY Chart for past 10 years with a 400 day moving average red line

(click on the image to see it bigger)


We sell off because of fear. Stocks move up and down. You need to catch the trend though. Red line above is a trend line. Trend of past one year. Why does the market stop correcting exactly at the 400 day red line? Don't you wonder.

Well, that is the time when the mutual fund owners load up on their stocks and kick you out.

Following is the live link to this chart. Bookmark it and check it every week to make sure we are above the red line. If we are then we are in bull market. You should be less afraid of your stock positions.

http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=%5ENSEI#symbol=%5ENSEI;range=my;compare=

NIFTY CHART

You can use the link check your stocks as well.

Check out the Reliance Chart

http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=RELIANCE.NS#chart1:symbol=reliance.ns;range=5y;indicator=ema(400);charttype=line;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=on;source=undefined

I will sharing more details on short term trading once the subscribers reach 500 count. You could help me by asking your friend to subscribe. Forward this email to all your email contacts. Until then we will discuss something else.

Thanks
Anil

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Rajesh Exports

Following stocks are for your study and watch list. These stocks have been showing good investor interest. I have added live link to Google Charts instead of putting a direct images. Let me know how you like it by sending your comments at indiastocktrend@gmail.com

I recommend you to create your gmail email id by going to http://mail.google.com and then create your watch list at http://finance.google.com

This will let you constantly watch your stocks and news related to it. My trading suggestions are exclusively based on technical analysis. I use chart alert software to do my analysis. In coming blogs I will be sharing how a stock is spotted for buy or sell. What to look at a stock chart and decide to invest.


Rajesh Exports Buy up to 65 Stop Loss 60 Book Profit at 70-75

Shri Lakshmi Cotsyn Buy up to 85 Stop Loss 74 Book Profit at 90-95

S kumar nationwide Buy up to 62 Stop Loss 45 Book Profit at 60-65

Tube Investments Buy up to 75 Stop Loss 62 Book Profit at 20% gains

Hinduja Ventures, India Overseas Bank and Central Bank of India have been showing great investor interest.

Thanks
Anil

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Chennai Petro

Hi Friends,

I have been waiting for some action to happen in the overall market before the earning season starts. We are doing good as of now. 4600 is now immediate support. We completely lack momentum in trading environment. Just going up and down. Technically we are broken above the resistance but the push does not appear to be powerful. The punch is weaker than you would like to see.

I found Chennai Petro as a break out stock. Keep stop loss at 200 and book profit at 240.
Tata Motors is running fast, it will be a speculative bet now. if you enter now, stop loss will be at 442. book profits as soon as you see them.

JBF industries is in uptrend too.

Thanks
Anil

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Disclaimer: Please trade with your own judgment or with the help of investment advisor. We are not responsible for any financial losses.

Greaves Cotton is a buy

Last three months market has not moved at all. Its been at this range for more than 90 days. Basically it has no trend at all. Its moving sideways. The range is 4000 to 4600. The weakness has been bought by market leaders. One or the other sector is providing support to the market. Its very hard to predict such environment.

As usual my opinion is still the same. We are less likely to get huge sell off because of lack of such catastrophic catalyst. Any such sell off will be great opportunity to invest. Prepare your buy list and keep an eye. Its certainly not the time to be 100% invested at the same time you shoudn't be completely out.

Many stocks are still breaking out of their long term consolidations and many are breaking their previous highs.

Look at Greaves Cotton. It has almost doubled from its March low. Recently it moved above its previous high. Its a great sign. Lets not be under illusion that it will keep raising forever. No stock does. It keeps moving in a range. Only thing that matters is what range would it keep bouncing.

Buy Greaves Cotton to participate in its current rally. Go small and steady. If it corrects in near future that be a great entry point. We don't even know that it will correct but the chances are less.







Stocks are probability game. We can only judge the highest probability based upon other investors action from the chart. Good Buy point for Greaves Cotton was at 151. We missed it and we are late to the party. Well doesn't matter we will know soon if we are joining the party or have been fooled.

As said before we are not in a trending market. Just in a trading range so hold your breath for the action to emerge. We could only be successful if we join the next wave early. Indian markets are very fast in its moves. You miss the entry you miss the whole rally.

Right now lets not repent on the missed rally. The opportunity will swing by again.

It always does for the one who is ready with his buy list

Happy Trading

Thanks
Anil

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Paper Products to book quick gains

Paper products bottomed quite sometime back. It has recently started to raise on heavy volume. It will be a quick trade. Buy upto 60 and sell it around 70.








Thanks
Anil

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Please forward this email to your friends and family members to help them build wealth under technical stock market guidance.

Disclaimer: Please trade with your own judgment or with the help of investment advisor. We are not responsible for any financial losses.